Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004097 0.004304 0.004516 0.004751 0.005003 0.005266 0.005561
2025-10-26 0.003724 0.004028 0.004353 0.004727 0.005148 0.005609 0.006155
2025-11-02 0.003478 0.003835 0.004227 0.004692 0.005233 0.005845 0.006598
2025-11-09 0.003359 0.003764 0.004218 0.004772 0.005433 0.006204 0.007185
2025-11-16 0.003198 0.003629 0.004122 0.004734 0.005482 0.006378 0.007548
2025-11-23 0.003078 0.003531 0.004059 0.004727 0.005560 0.006580 0.007949
2025-11-30 0.002941 0.003406 0.003954 0.004659 0.005553 0.006671 0.008206
2025-12-07 0.002824 0.003299 0.003865 0.004603 0.005555 0.006767 0.008469
2025-12-14 0.002742 0.003229 0.003818 0.004595 0.005614 0.006936 0.008834
2025-12-21 0.002609 0.003090 0.003678 0.004461 0.005501 0.006868 0.008865
2025-12-28 0.002551 0.003044 0.003652 0.004473 0.005578 0.007058 0.009264
2026-01-04 0.002516 0.003025 0.003658 0.004525 0.005711 0.007326 0.009791
2026-01-11 0.002447 0.002960 0.003605 0.004497 0.005733 0.007443 0.010104
2026-01-18 0.002385 0.002902 0.003558 0.004475 0.005762 0.007571 0.010441
2026-01-25 0.002322 0.002842 0.003506 0.004443 0.005775 0.007673 0.010741
2026-02-01 0.002305 0.002839 0.003530 0.004516 0.005939 0.008004 0.011422
2026-02-08 0.002248 0.002782 0.003479 0.004482 0.005944 0.008097 0.011723
2026-02-15 0.002204 0.002742 0.003448 0.004475 0.005989 0.008250 0.012132
2026-02-22 0.002142 0.002676 0.003380 0.004412 0.005947 0.008266 0.012307
2026-03-01 0.002088 0.002618 0.003322 0.004360 0.005920 0.008302 0.012519
2026-03-08 0.002051 0.002583 0.003295 0.004353 0.005959 0.008444 0.012923
2026-03-15 0.001976 0.002494 0.003190 0.004229 0.005813 0.008283 0.012776
2026-03-22 0.001950 0.002472 0.003177 0.004240 0.005878 0.008465 0.013260